Wind howled and rain lashed down yesterday, it came sideways under eaves of beachside cabanas and made tosta mistos soggy, among other abominations.

After a lacklustre beakfast, I went back to bed. My room mate Pablo el matador Gutierrez went surfing at Picos de Mata coz he's a pro in every sense and scored. Apparently it was pumping up there, he had a four second baz and then came out and went wack wack wack wack wack 360. Hawaiians Roy Powers and Peddie Free were rip tearing up there too, and wondered why the conny wasnt on. It did seem improbable though with the cabbage patch car park being a quagmire of death mud that would have made the Battle of the Somme look like a Royal Windsor and Eton lawn bowls club on the nicest day in July.

Today is another day of course, and we're looking at a midday call to maybe send the birds out this afternoon at Lagido, that semi fat but rippable left. Im not dissing it though. Matty Wilko spent an evening picking a thousand urchin spines out of his corpse the other day after brushing da reef out there.

Here's the forecast from Magic Seaweed. Sure, its the same guy who said it was gonna be 'Bigger than the Eddie' the other day. We have sent a team of assasins to dispatch him to the afterlife but in the meantime, this is what he reckons for today:

Latest forecast for Peniche is looking interesting with Tropical Storm Otto becoming a Hurricane and looking likely to send interesting swell for the middle of the week:

Saturday 9th: Swell building to 20ft during the day from WNW and moderate southerly or SSW winds increasing later in the day and potentially gusting 20-25mph.

Sunday 10th: Post peak the swell will halve in size over the day but still be in the large (13ft@12secs) range by evening. Winds will start moderate westerly 15-20mph and move to NW during the day dropping slightly in strength 12-15mph over the day.

Monday 11th: Winds start moderate Northerly, there's some indication of light variable winds around mid day with Northerlies resuming by evening, unfortunately there's still uncertainty in the models for monday and even at this range it's hard to have 100% confidence. The swell will start the day strong 11ft@12secs but we're very much in the dying portion of the swell here and the end of the day sees that dropping to 6ft@10seconds. Given the westerly direction of the swell and cooperation of that wind the wave size on west facing beaches should match or potentially slightly exceed the swell height.

Tuesday 12th: Small west and northerly wind swell.

Wednesday 13th: Models show good confidence of the start of the arrival of swell from Hurricane Otto by wednesday lunchtime, with some indication it may be showing before this. The swell comes in almost due west and most likely in that 5-7ft@12-14 second range by lunch time. Again this westerly direction means it should hit the west facing beaches without obstruction. Best indications are for very light winds, there's more uncertainty in direction but light enough that it'll have modest impact if the forecast holds.

Thursday 14th: Hurricane swell peaks at around 6-8ft@12-14seconds and the latest forecast. Winds are harder to read at this stage but we're looking at more generally a period of settled weather with light winds. The best information we have is for a trend towards easterlies, with both NE and SE showing in differing models.